Polymarket Trader

0x418A729f10C6170a50E290354DBF6DD0Eca364c0-1775316182122

0x418a729f10c6170a50e290354dbf6dd0eca364c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.51
Realized PnL: $397.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $102.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $92.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $78.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 25°C or below on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $78.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $73.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $70.11
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $15.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$23.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $61.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $45.45
Potential payout: $48.35
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $46.45
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.89
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $34.94
Potential payout: $35.11
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $28.26

Finland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.2

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 80.2%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.43

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $8.56

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

Yes 78.7% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 11?

No 95.9% 5.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 11?

No 99.5% 5.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

No 21.3% 5.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 11?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

Yes 78.6% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 11?

No 99.5% 15.02 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 11?

No 83% 2.52 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 11?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 11?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on July 11?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 11?

No 55% 1.62 shares