Polymarket Trader

polyphony - 24666

0x418d9ebcc35e820f1a25bc44429e1d9b8765d758

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.02
Realized PnL: $127.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will another team win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Wake Forest win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Kansas State win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Syracuse win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Caleb Wilson win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Braden Smith win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Jeff Hafley be the next Giants Head Coach?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Rick Heidner win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Joseph Severino win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Andrea Pinamonti be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Francesco Camarda be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Paulo Dybala be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Lucca be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.7
Potential profit: $7.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 2 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $7.03
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?

Ends Oct 30, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.35

Under position

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Jose Alvarado: Assists Over 3.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Isaiah Collier: Assists Over 6.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Desmond Bane: Assists Over 4.5

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Maristany position

Australian Open Women's: Guiomar Maristany vs Tatiana Prozorova

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 12 above $173?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Duke Blue Devils position

Duke Blue Devils vs. California Golden Bears

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $460?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≥2.4% in December?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

duplicate Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 12 above $172?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Raheem Morris be the next NFL Head Coach fired?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions position

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Leviatán GC position

Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Leviatán GC - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

BPL: Durdanto Dhaka vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Durdanto Dhaka Winner

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Perú Rejects position

Series: Most kills?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Microsoft dip to $428 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

BPL: Durdanto Dhaka vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1) - Most Sixes Durdanto Dhaka Winner

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

No 83% 6.57 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

No 94.5% 6 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

No 76% 6.58 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

No 88% 5.68 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.5% 1,666.66 shares
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

No 98.2% 5 shares
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Yes 12.2% 63.13 shares
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Yes 6.3% 4.78 shares