No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $11.35K
- Potential payout
- $18.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Polymarket Trader
Knicksin3
0x4194a1cd722f3c31c9935dd4595e03a67ef79809
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.62K
- Realized PnL
- $4.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $313.87
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $244.08
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $867.92
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $38.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $36.1
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $343.9
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$29.9
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $19.56
- Potential payout
- $83.22
- Potential profit
- $63.66
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.44
Yes position
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $702.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.29
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.4
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $118.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.51
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $53.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.45
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.97
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.79
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $7.44
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 50.5% 83.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 36.1% 2,770.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 56% 4,464.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 53.3% 3,753.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 810.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 51% 44.37 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 74% 279.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 53% 4,150.94 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.5% 289.99 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 60% 206.57 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15% 239.99 shares