Polymarket Trader

0x4198Dc0922a7D320f90cC3451756285B2ce87bE2-1777411633560

0x4198dc0922a7d320f90cc3451756285b2ce87be2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.76
Realized PnL: $643.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.43
Potential profit: $529.43
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.2
Potential profit: $512.2
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.57
Potential profit: $495.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.83
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.63
Potential profit: $255.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.08
Potential profit: $246.08
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.16
Potential profit: $203.16
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.51
Potential profit: $189.51
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.41
Potential profit: $176.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.96
Potential profit: $164.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.34
Potential profit: $135.34
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.62
Potential profit: $134.62
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.49
Potential profit: $126.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.93
Potential profit: $121.93
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.31
Potential profit: $111.31
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.33
Potential profit: $106.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.61
Potential profit: $104.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $31.13
Potential payout: $95.8
Potential profit: $64.66
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.6
Potential profit: $93.6
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.03
Potential profit: $84.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $7.12
Potential payout: $82.92
Potential profit: $75.8
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: -$0.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 40.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 5% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 30.1% 66.45 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 45.9% 21.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 51% 39.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 73% 64.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 31.3% 95.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 78% 64.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43.2% 92.57 shares