Polymarket Trader

poss1

0x41a5f507edf17007b63308a94d11fa9977502044

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.35
Realized PnL: $275.82
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.63
Potential profit: $403.63
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.78
Potential profit: $200.78
User PnL: -$59.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.19
Potential profit: $200.19
User PnL: -$21.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$6.76

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $113.53
Potential payout: $119.57
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.29
Potential profit: $101.29
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $100.5
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.24
Potential profit: $100.24
User PnL: -$34.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 25?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 8?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 26.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 89% 25.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 79% 24.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Yes 59% 9.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Yes 56% 9.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 37% 29.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 53.9% 29.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 73.3% 53.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 74% 28.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 90.8% 23.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 78.9% 56.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 71.1% 25.73 shares