No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $871.72
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $569.14
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $73.74
Polymarket Trader
predwin01
0x41ac5791ac29f9fbb9ad7d5e455e33ffe126631a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.54K
- Realized PnL
- $1.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $935.62
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $420.55
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $150.35
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.4
Yes position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $127.44
- Potential payout
- $708
- Potential profit
- $580.56
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $40.71
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $582
- Potential profit
- $580.55
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.11
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $101.3
- Potential payout
- $504
- Potential profit
- $402.7
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$59.75
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.3
- Potential profit
- $499.3
- User PnL
- -$123.64
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $62.38
- Potential payout
- $499
- Potential profit
- $436.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.65
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $43.2
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $436.8
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $204.57
- Potential payout
- $449.6
- Potential profit
- $245.03
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449
- Potential profit
- $449
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $16.84
- Potential payout
- $370.08
- Potential profit
- $353.24
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.69
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212
- Potential profit
- $212
- User PnL
- -$6.24
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $153.46
- Potential payout
- $163
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $82
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $15.58
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $60.42
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $29.93
- Potential profit
- $27.09
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $7.99
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1.87
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $1.86
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.21
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.25
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.48
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.87
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.47
T1 Academy position
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.91
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.3
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Gen.G position
First Blood in Game 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Yes position
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 73.5% 483.34 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 76.6% 15.08 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 73.4% 74.58 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 46.3% 449.6 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 23% 450 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 42 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 5.7% 101 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 6.9% 470.3 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1% 64 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 40.3% 80 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.6% 443 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 39 shares