No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $98.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $61.74
Polymarket Trader
casandra13
0x41b0ee514df0c43652d28323292776bedff29801
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3K
- Realized PnL
- $108.92
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $119.02
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $39.67
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $560.9
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $80.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $60.9
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.5
- Potential profit
- $537.5
- User PnL
- -$95
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $519.61
- Potential profit
- $519.61
- User PnL
- -$350
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.03
- Potential profit
- $106.03
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.09
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.57
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will Solana reach $130 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.52
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.79
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$25.21
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$36.01
No position
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$78.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 88% 1,159.09 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 89% 1,146.19 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.3% 661.24 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 92.9% 702.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 94% 702.33 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 673.77 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 1,133.53 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 1,188.77 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 94.5% 158.67 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 971.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 69% 1,334.83 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 1,098.9 shares