Polymarket Trader

crn1

0x41b749069ce017a0a3cea9cf81000fb446c84ff3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.53
Realized PnL: $456.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.37
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $35.89
Potential profit: $35.71
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $31.11
Potential profit: $30.64
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $31.1
Potential profit: $31.04
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.83
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Dan J. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.64
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.9
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.54
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Nico O'Reilly win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.76
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.46
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.72
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.87
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.81
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.81
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $26.05
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.39
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.72
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $52.05

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $36.9

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $29.88

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: $25.03

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $24.7

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $22.32

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $14.64

Yes position

Will Ibrahima Konaté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $9.96

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $9.92

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 98.9% 30 shares
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.1% 24 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?

No 98.6% 9 shares
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 20 shares
Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99% 5 shares
Will Ibrahima Konaté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.7% 20 shares
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 98.9% 10 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 19, 2026?

No 99.2% 5.16 shares