No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Current value
- $849.37
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $551.07
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
0x41bf...2f2b
0x41bf0f464407478aef59bf8ccb26282bd9dd2f2b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $963.59
- Realized PnL
- $45.14
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $69.45
- Potential payout
- $420.93
- Potential profit
- $351.48
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $10.52
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $44.77
- Potential payout
- $169.28
- Potential profit
- $124.51
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $19.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $13.57
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.8% 52 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 66.4% 248.43 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 65.58 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 1.64 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.3% 196.37 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.5% 503.86 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.4% 505.5 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.5% 976.08 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96% 65.58 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 14.7% 607.92 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 572.76 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 44% 572.76 shares