No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $69.62
- Potential payout
- $90.41
- Potential profit
- $20.79
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $3.62
Polymarket Trader
0x41c1...cbeb
0x41c1438511fc0e398f4e510a68f5c3a40fadcbeb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $142.79
- Realized PnL
- $60.35
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $58.48
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $8.48
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $4.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 73% 90.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 56% 89.29 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 98.9% 38.46 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 70.42 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 72% 49.16 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 71% 70.42 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No 79.3% 50.2 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 75% 38.47 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 49.3% 40.35 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No 47.1% 42.26 shares