Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $3.86K
- Potential payout
- $19K
- Potential profit
- $15.14K
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.64K
Polymarket Trader
VortexTrading
0x41c71e6daf8fb1a4ae199ecb4f54cbdf3a5c0df5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.94K
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $15.13K
- Potential payout
- $19K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.63K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $224.18
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.38
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $212.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $39.39
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $35.93
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $30.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- $16.07
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $803.25
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $545.97
- Potential payout
- $653.85
- Potential profit
- $107.89
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $601.65
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $591.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $396.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $396.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $340.46
- Potential payout
- $368.06
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $356.37
- Potential payout
- $357.08
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $330.93
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $19.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $308.16
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $11.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $276.28
- Potential payout
- $305.28
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $34.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $216.99
- Potential payout
- $217.1
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $210
- Potential payout
- $217.06
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $182.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $119.22
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $97.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $494.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.91
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.28
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.37
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.29
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.64
No position
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.65
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.78
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $81.14
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.4
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.99
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.1
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.52
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.24
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.43
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.34
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.9% 400 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.9% 400 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 99.1% 91.43 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.9% 300 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 99% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.9% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 99% 130.24 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 99% 175 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27?No 93.1% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.9% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.2% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96% 26.29 shares