0x41c7...1514

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $36.71
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $9.36
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.26
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.09

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.02

Spain position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

No position

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $3.2
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

No position

World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Over position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Under position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?