Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$694.23
Polymarket Trader
0x41d30dF6E08b10FdeAE0dE0a7f3Ed672BdCd7eD3-1725886082284
0x41d30df6e08b10fdeae0de0a7f3ed672bdcd7ed3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $685.8
- Realized PnL
- $557.73
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.58
- Potential profit
- $735.58
- User PnL
- -$367.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $516.5
- Potential payout
- $516.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $258.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.76
- Potential profit
- $435.76
- User PnL
- -$221.44
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.53
- Potential profit
- $246.53
- User PnL
- -$123.26
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.32
- Potential profit
- $231.32
- User PnL
- -$115.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.27
- Potential profit
- $204.27
- User PnL
- -$102.14
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $169.3
- Potential payout
- $189.16
- Potential profit
- $19.86
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $16.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.88
- Potential profit
- $126.88
- User PnL
- -$64.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $126
- User PnL
- -$64.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.65
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.38
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.97
No position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10โ15%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Pลรญsaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Lee Jae-myung?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 307.26 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 204.27 shares
- Solana Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp 50% 242.61 shares
- Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ETUp 50% 231.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7AM ETDown 50.8% 435.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ETUp 51% 225.82 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown 51% 126.88 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5PM ETDown 51% 137.76 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8AM ETDown 51% 126 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 78.1% 1,012.84 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 81% 189.16 shares
- Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10โ15%?No 99.8% 1 shares