Polymarket Trader

0x41E56eAc8D81EE01555dCBc7a9D5A1BB8db0E283-1782971512635

0x41e56eac8d81ee01555dcbc7a9d5a1bb8db0e283

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.48
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $573.27
Potential profit: $572.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $538.61
Potential profit: $538.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $368.33
Potential profit: $368.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $247.63
Potential profit: $247.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $247.63
Potential profit: $247.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $247.63
Potential profit: $247.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $212.63
Potential profit: $212.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $206.59
Potential profit: $206.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $159.63
Potential profit: $159.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $156.14
Potential profit: $156.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $119.63
Potential profit: $119.57
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $119.63
Potential profit: $119.57
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $98.82
Potential profit: $98.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $144.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $136.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 73.1%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $119.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 73.6%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $96.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $62.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $50.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $38.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $37.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $34.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $30.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $29.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $26.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $24.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $23.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $17.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $16.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $14.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 7?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

No 54% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 7?

No 95% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

No 99.8% 6.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 7?

No 99.9% 6.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

No 54% 6.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?

No 99.9% 6.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

No 98% 6.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 7?

No 95% 6.14 shares