Polymarket Trader

0x41E8266341517750bec28829015b5289FE00b994-1766188710954

0x41e8266341517750bec28829015b5289fe00b994

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.93K
Realized PnL: $31.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $36.93K
Potential payout: $44.77K
Potential profit: $7.83K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$2.64K

Yes position

Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97K
Potential profit: $5.97K
User PnL: -$150

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $5.89K
User PnL: -$5.46K

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$499.59

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$790.14

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$10

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.7
Potential profit: $453.7
User PnL: -$197.11

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.82
Potential profit: $441.82
User PnL: -$228

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.5
Potential profit: $388.5
User PnL: -$77.7

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$48

M80 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$39

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$100

BIG position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.53
Potential profit: $238.53
User PnL: -$41

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

M80 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.11
Potential profit: $191.11
User PnL: -$67.89

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.25
Potential profit: $181.25
User PnL: -$58

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.35
Potential profit: $178.35
User PnL: -$55.29

BC.Game Esports position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.09
Potential profit: $166.09
User PnL: -$61.45

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.15
Potential profit: $155.15
User PnL: -$40

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $78
User PnL: -$35.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $2.76K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.37

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.99

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $755.02

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580.43

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.51

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.25

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.17

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $505.24

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.22

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.35

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.22

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.47

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.4

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 65% 1,215.6 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FUT Esports 26% 180.77 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FUT Esports 55% 272.93 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 32% 181.25 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FUT Esports 50% 360 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Spirit 27% 277.78 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

MOUZ 15% 320 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Monte 31% 178.35 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FUT Esports 75.9% 306.97 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Spirit 57% 710.81 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

9z 8% 125 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 6% 391.72 shares