Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $725
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.28K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $75
Polymarket Trader
Chungvicular
0x41eacf5aaa4c7fc883a098635b981050715d7a3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.23K
- Realized PnL
- $93.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $29.31K
- Potential profit
- $27.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $133.63
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $9.21K
- Potential payout
- $24.3K
- Potential profit
- $15.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $23.75K
- Potential profit
- $22.53K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $367.65
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $128.14
- Potential payout
- $23.3K
- Potential profit
- $23.17K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.89K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $21.76K
- Potential profit
- $17.84K
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.8K
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $26.58
- Potential payout
- $17.72K
- Potential profit
- $17.69K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.51K
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $79.44
- User PnL
- $467.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $7.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$618.88
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $7.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$48.79
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$297.5
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $364.88
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$605
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$265.32
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $540.82
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $716.89
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$81.99
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.38
- Potential profit
- $755.38
- User PnL
- -$96.99
No position
Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $192.64
- Potential payout
- $453.27
- Potential profit
- $260.63
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$24.93
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $17.89
- Potential payout
- $357.79
- Potential profit
- $339.9
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.11
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $116.37
- Potential payout
- $318.83
- Potential profit
- $202.46
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$27.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $7.87K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.21K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $847.88
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 41.6% 3,831.68 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 21.6% 215.07 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 95% 999.98 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 30.9% 9,264.6 shares
- Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?Yes 6.7% 1,227.57 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 26.3% 3,500 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 14.8% 473.8 shares
- Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?No 96.1% 303.82 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 98.9% 138.85 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 98.6% 50 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 48% 453.27 shares