Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.42K
- Potential profit
- $20.42K
- User PnL
- -$438.15
Polymarket Trader
irmants
@irmants
0x41f095a4232b57558a6db41ffa2a4819e0443eeb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.89K
- Realized PnL
- $24.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52K
- Potential profit
- $18.52K
- User PnL
- -$787.53
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.81K
- Potential profit
- $17.81K
- User PnL
- -$185.35
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.59K
- Potential profit
- $17.59K
- User PnL
- -$251.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14K
- Potential profit
- $17.14K
- User PnL
- -$479.98
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.68K
- Potential profit
- $10.68K
- User PnL
- -$470.14
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $10.13K
- User PnL
- -$640.97
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- User PnL
- -$661.29
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29K
- Potential profit
- $9.29K
- User PnL
- -$203.4
N
No position
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $4.93K
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$319.64
Yes position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
No position
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $5.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$387.75
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $425.03
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $142.32
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- User PnL
- -$97.32
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
Yes position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.31K
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- User PnL
- $3.52K
BC Dubai position
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubai
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- User PnL
- -$787
Real Madrid position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.81K
- User PnL
- -$685.18
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$340.06
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $639.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$36.17
N
No position
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $253.35
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$396.65
Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- User PnL
- -$149.83
No position
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $687.1
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $269.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Wizards position
Bucks vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Fenerbahce position
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Real Madrid position
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?
Ends Oct 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.64
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.79
Valencia position
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.09
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.48
Valencia position
Valencia vs. Anadolu Efes
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.43
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.92
No position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.09
No position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.69
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.55
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.32
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.65
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.93
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.83
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.22
Real Madrid position
Valencia vs. Real Madrid
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 59.4% 821.11 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 413 shares
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 53% 2,502 shares
- Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 18.9% 476.58 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 287 shares
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 24% 397.64 shares
- Will Ecuador be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 20% 289 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 1,075.09 shares
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 25% 3,950 shares
- Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 72.5% 482.86 shares
- Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 35% 100 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 17.6% 596.21 shares