Polymarket Trader

troj4nhorse

0x41f95947a7121cafff0ae10ae860e5a0e33384e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.08K
Realized PnL: $7.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.64K
Potential payout: $10.75K
Potential profit: $5.11K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $87.69
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $457.74
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $672.48
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$36.06

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.65
Potential profit: $500.65
User PnL: -$117.81

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $492.25
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $26.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $473.25
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $253.49
Potential payout: $266.97
Potential profit: $13.48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $26.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $49.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $200.63
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $36.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $213.88
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$62.25

No position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $68
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $50.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $69.6
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Sadio Mané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $80.4
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$17.2

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $74.64
Potential payout: $119.42
Potential profit: $44.78
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $74.8
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$34.2

Yes position

Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $28.6
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $81.4
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$33.79

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $62
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.99

Yes position

Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.83

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341

Yes position

Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.5

Yes position

2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of TEs drafted O/U 10.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.15

Yes position

March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.67

No position

Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.58

Tennessee Volunteers position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Nevada Wolf Pack position

Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184

No position

Will Shilo Sanders play in week 1?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.2

No position

Will Kirk Cousins get cut/traded by the Falcons?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.39

No position

Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.39

Connecticut Huskies position

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.19

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.69

No position

Will Isaiah Bond get drafted?

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.54

Kentucky position

Illinois vs. Kentucky

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.66

Kansas Jayhawks position

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.11

Houston Cougars position

Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.14

Texas Longhorns position

Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.13

Michigan State Spartans position

Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.27

Over position

Big Game: First TD Scorer Jersey Number O/U 19.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.95

No position

Will Arizona Cardinals draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 1,080 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 250 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 250 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 500 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 500 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 500 shares
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 56% 40 shares
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57% 79.42 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 100 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40.2% 120 shares
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 58.6% 140 shares