Polymarket Trader

0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b

0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.32K
Realized PnL: $521.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $71.27
Potential payout: $142.54K
Potential profit: $142.47K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.25K

Yes position

Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $71.27
Potential payout: $142.54K
Potential profit: $142.47K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.25K

Yes position

Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $71.07
Potential payout: $142.14K
Potential profit: $142.07K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.24K

Yes position

Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $67.73
Potential payout: $135.46K
Potential profit: $135.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.04K

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $54.07
Potential payout: $108.14K
Potential profit: $108.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $50.12
Potential payout: $100.25K
Potential profit: $100.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.53K

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $155.76K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $85.46K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $82.38K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26K

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88K

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $18.18K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $14.74K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $14.08K

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $8.36K

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $8.03K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.89K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $7.01K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.14K

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $6.11K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 17% 3,100 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

No 38.1% 282 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

No 34% 1,271.46 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 1.1% 190.47 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 21% 111.66 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 22% 20 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 20% 131.66 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?

Yes 9% 180 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?

Yes 18% 255 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 81% 34.79 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?

Yes 9.5% 1,032.65 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 19% 2,700.91 shares