Polymarket Trader

KriteriTraderJoe

0x4214bd27b30d8cd3eb8bbe9edd2fcebaac4e6c68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $533.14
Realized PnL: $8.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.62K
Potential profit: $20.62K
User PnL: -$3.76K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.16K
Potential profit: $6.16K
User PnL: -$144.72

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$59.16

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
User PnL: -$84.72

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$458.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$136.88

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$186.57

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$140.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$170.66

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$105.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$119.52

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.2
Potential profit: $589.2
User PnL: -$81.46

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.44
Potential profit: $520.44
User PnL: -$207.7

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $109.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $190.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.65
Potential profit: $264.65
User PnL: -$36

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $231.62
Potential payout: $253.14
Potential profit: $21.52
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $114.16

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $216.78
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$54.56

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $47.51
Potential payout: $220.97
Potential profit: $173.46
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.2
Potential profit: $190.2
User PnL: -$54.01

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $117.8
Potential payout: $169.52
Potential profit: $51.72
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $58.34

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $159.6
Potential profit: $149.23
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.59

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $141.2
Potential profit: $132.02
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $84.78
Potential profit: $83.17
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$10.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $639.94

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.57

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.01

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.8

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.93

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.64

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.52

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.59

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.55

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.84

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.27

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.55

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.79

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.72

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.75

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 78.03 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 19.89 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 21.2 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 37.41 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 37.41 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 21.21 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 23.23 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 18.56 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 17.05 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 22.9 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 18.27 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 21.2 shares