No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.7
Polymarket Trader
census8633
0x422171d0a9e986312efd30e43ba6f1dd5504449e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.97
- Realized PnL
- $274.79
- Win rate
- 26.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Tunisia position
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271
No position
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Misa Esports position
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Tunisia 91% 15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?No 90% 17 shares
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports 93% 17 shares
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 97% 1,753.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 4% 2,344 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?No 95.6% 1,557 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 4.2% 1,278 shares
- Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.8% 92.28 shares
- Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96% 1,245.72 shares
- Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.2% 1,689 shares
- Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 3.3% 8 shares
- Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 3.6% 693 shares