Polymarket Trader

petrodaktylium

0x4224fc551e5bc9ce2eba9b3cacea0ff784de114b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.73
Realized PnL: $19.02
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above 64,400 on July 12, 11PM ET?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $265.62
Potential profit: $257.78
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $6.84

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $114.56
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.65

GenOne position

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

MOUZ NXT position

Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.8
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 13?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.67
Potential profit: $67.67
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.59
Potential profit: $67.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.63
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.7
Potential profit: $64.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.48
Potential profit: $63.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or below on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $62.34
Potential profit: $61.87
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $57.84
Potential profit: $57.75
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $52.39
Potential profit: $52.23
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $51.65
Potential profit: $51.6
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $50.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Bitcoin above 62,200 on July 13, 1PM ET?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.83

No position

Bitcoin above 62,200 on July 13, 10AM ET?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Bitcoin above 62,600 on July 13, 2AM ET?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin above 64,000 on July 14, 3PM ET?

No 3.2% 30.83 shares
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?

Yes 3% 33.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 520+ Feet?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 5% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 5% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 5% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 6% 16.67 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 7% 14.29 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 9% 11.11 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

SPARTA 8% 12.5 shares