Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $294.68
- Potential profit
- $294.09
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Polymarket Trader
SureLose
0x422a0c2c09d80195e036787edf93fe5aa430eda1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.81
- Realized PnL
- -$5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $292.3
- Potential profit
- $291.57
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.88
- Potential profit
- $241.88
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $156.16
- Potential profit
- $154.68
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.7
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.69
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Yes 5.4% 54.44 shares
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Yes 4.9% 101.72 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3% 33.33 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 35% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 11% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 4% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 7% 71.43 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Yes 0.3% 292.3 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Yes 0.3% 294.68 shares