0x422a83359Dc19F2243232d98ce0dDB5F512aC395-1761634669278

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $258.3
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $41.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12.3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $280.46
Potential payout: $291.84
Potential profit: $11.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $138.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $139.3
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $119.1
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.9
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $104.91
Potential payout: $112.2
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $102.85
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $108.9
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $21.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $105.05
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $14.01
Potential payout: $102.65
Potential profit: $88.64
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.27
Potential payout: $99.75
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $57.81
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $55.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $47.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $10.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $42.78
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $25.44
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.16

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.96

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.22

Jazz position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.53

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.83

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.64

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET