Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
TraderA23
0x423e00638ce12cf1ba62a10490c3ee7bdffea3a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.66
- Realized PnL
- $502.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $23.73
- Potential payout
- $36.8
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.13
- Potential profit
- $28.13
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $23.12
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $12.02
- Potential payout
- $13.58
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $6.65
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 16% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 32% 15.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 1% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp 13% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 25% 12 shares
- California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionNo 50% 80 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.2% 514.63 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 40.65 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 13.58 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 40.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 11.49 shares