No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.07
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Polymarket Trader
iaysb
0x42534f25c3d7201694ecf6e055a1260f9d8956ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.96
- Realized PnL
- $5.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $3.91
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?
Ends Nov 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Kaylee McKeowan (AUS) win Gold in 100m Women's Backstroke?
Ends Jul 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Cavaliers position
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Solana above $190 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Trudeau out in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Megaquake in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross less than 3m on its opening weekend?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90.5% 1.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 95% 1.63 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 95.7% 3.91 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 96.7% 1.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 14.44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 97% 2.06 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No 97.1% 2.06 shares
- Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No 88.9% 1.12 shares
- Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes 93.1% 1.07 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No 94% 1.06 shares