No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$102.4
Polymarket Trader
Flaquito
0x426d03e98b50a0f8ba74ca455e1c17d5091eb976
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $640.25
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $91.48
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $649.26
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.02
- Potential profit
- $677.02
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $106.76
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $433.78
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $308.04
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $227.68
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.63
- Potential profit
- $445.63
- User PnL
- -$87
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $276.2
- Potential payout
- $397.46
- Potential profit
- $121.27
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $26.2
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $303.84
- Potential payout
- $356.21
- Potential profit
- $52.36
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $53.84
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.24
- Potential profit
- $336.24
- User PnL
- -$97.51
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $300.95
- Potential payout
- $312.35
- Potential profit
- $11.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $145.95
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.41
- Potential profit
- $294.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.51
- Potential profit
- $222.51
- User PnL
- -$135.73
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.37
- Potential profit
- $197.37
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $188.68
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $90.21
- Potential payout
- $175.16
- Potential profit
- $84.95
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.13
- Potential profit
- $166.13
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $112.7
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $46.03
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.19
- Potential profit
- $158.19
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.59
- Potential profit
- $157.59
- User PnL
- -$45.7
Y
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $39.25
- Potential payout
- $157
- Potential profit
- $117.75
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.21
- Potential profit
- $144.21
- User PnL
- -$47.59
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.94
- Potential profit
- $125.94
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $100.92
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.31
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $51.94
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.54
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Yes position
Anastasios Douvikas: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Over position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Germany leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Jonathan David: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Yes 57.3% 157 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes 36% 83.33 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 70.2% 356.21 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 34% 294.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 16.3% 381.45 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.1% 62.5 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 61% 222.51 shares
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 36.9% 271 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 62.9% 397.46 shares
- Germany leading at halftime?No 49% 61.22 shares