Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $5.89K
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $611
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Polymarket Trader
Meduzinator
@misaktrojan
0x42722cbb51c3cf996acfa17ea65a9202299910c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.17K
- Realized PnL
- $8.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $110.77
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $949.22
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$30.04
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $799.81
- Potential profit
- $794.61
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $342.49
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.44
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.69
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.06
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.94
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.36
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.03
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.72
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.71
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.14
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
BIG position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 68% 167.3 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 29.5% 548 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 85.6% 11.4 shares
- Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250?Yes 55% 22.22 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 84.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6.8% 60 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes 27.8% 215 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 22.1% 615 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 4.5% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 9% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes 70% 15.69 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 91.4% 2,500 shares