Polymarket Trader

ayuan1989

@yun403637995628

0x42a17972be4ff223bb3a7a79676873b2a26d5c05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $537.84
Realized PnL: $624.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $198.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $97.06
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $83.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $59.13
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.74

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.46

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.75

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.92

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.6

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Nets

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.36

Pacers position

Hawks vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Spurs position

Celtics vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 99.5% 200 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.1% 59.3 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.3% 741.11 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of February?

Yes 99.9% 20.41 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

No 99.9% 94 shares
Hawks vs. Pacers

Pacers 99.9% 250 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

No 99.8% 835 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 98.7% 44.49 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 98.8% 14.45 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 98.8% 50.89 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 98.9% 10.75 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 98.8% 14.25 shares