No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $15.47
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.47
Polymarket Trader
MoonCrestter
0x42abf50544d939f706cce253cecd7aa0ba062c1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.77
- Realized PnL
- $7.8
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.56
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Trump say "tax" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Oregon Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Solana above $170 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 15.32 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 15.58 shares
- Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No 98.9% 5.06 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95% 10.56 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 83.7% 5.97 shares
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 99.7% 29.09 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes 39% 5.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No 99.7% 10.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?No 99% 5.05 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes 61% 9.84 shares