Polymarket Trader

russell.b

0x42b8c0d588b53dd1148d1d060103305e2751c49e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.02
Realized PnL: -$13.63
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.13
Potential payout: $9.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 94% 7.89 shares
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Yes 87% 8.4 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Yes 89% 9.13 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58% 1.23 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58% 0.69 shares
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 73% 9.3 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Yes 76.2% 9.91 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 54% 0.69 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 54% 86.55 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 54% 1.92 shares
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Yes 72% 5.14 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 55% 2.44 shares