No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $988
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $262.63
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
hbvcx
0x42d005df8895df0785f5914358ddba9156adcbc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.85K
- Realized PnL
- $601.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $770.32
- Potential payout
- $837.76
- Potential profit
- $67.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $71.32
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.3%
- Current value
- $51.03
- Potential payout
- $140.78
- Potential profit
- $89.75
- Multiplier
- 2.76x
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.86
- Potential profit
- $35.86
- User PnL
- -$25.1
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $23.66
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $17.78
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.48
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No 45.5% 140.78 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 80% 1,250.64 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 83.4% 837.76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 85.2% 1,760.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 72.4% 1,821.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 384.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 744.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 78% 384.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 1,076.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 98.8% 2,036.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 2,036.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 1,884.81 shares