Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Polymarket Trader
Aurelia244
0x42d2e6c868e951b8a717a63e962313d2a117772d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $14.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon tweet 575–599 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.5% 122 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.7% 164 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 21 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87% 11 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.9% 34 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.7% 44.2 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 12.7% 118 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 11.9% 161 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 23 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 138 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 158 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.9% 26 shares