Polymarket Trader

lalacar

0x42d5ed6248ba552c73004412db273dca944a070c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02K
Realized PnL: -$135.81
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $197.66
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $97.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $55.26
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $359.12
Potential payout: $825.56
Potential profit: $466.44
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$13.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $164.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $535.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$199.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $55.38
Potential payout: $475.37
Potential profit: $419.99
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $35.56

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$55.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $275.25
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $128.24
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$28.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $13.59
Potential payout: $118.21
Potential profit: $104.62
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.87

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $77.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $22.65
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $38.35

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.55
Potential profit: $99.55
User PnL: -$60.93

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$60.8

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $22.19
Potential payout: $34.67
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $12.29
Potential profit: $10.39
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Scotland vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $19.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$12.84

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$154.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 5.3% 200 shares
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 30 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 80 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 20 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 52% 20 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 71% 33 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 100 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

No 33% 10 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 62% 20 shares