Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $40.33
- Potential payout
- $268.9
- Potential profit
- $228.56
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.56
Polymarket Trader
D3MiAN
0x42d830498cc1ec97a7df3a0abbc122fe8d13ff9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.33
- Realized PnL
- $2.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $979.41
Yes position
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.97
Yes position
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 16+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.4
No position
Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 5+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.81
No position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.99
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.79
No position
Will Trump say "51st State" this week?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nasty" this week? (August 25 - 31)
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.8
Yes position
Will Marques Brownlee's next video get less than 4.0 million views on week 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.63
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.61
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.58
No position
Will Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
No position
Will Trump say "LNG" or "Natural Gas" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?No 70% 75 shares
- Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in October?Yes 8% 10.98 shares
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?No 11% 40.98 shares
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?Yes 0.9% 20.96 shares
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?No 14% 32.61 shares
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?No 14% 14 shares
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?No 17% 279.38 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No 0.1% 455 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No 0.5% 781.39 shares
- Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?No 0.1% 105.31 shares
- Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No 96.2% 5.55 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No 6% 832.87 shares