Polymarket Trader

0x42f01b7c5c20570Db68E0127675B3f5D2aF6fc65-1768338366856

0x42f01b7c5c20570db68e0127675b3f5d2af6fc65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98K
Potential profit: $49.98K
User PnL: -$99.95

Yes position

Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$33

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$198.65

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92K
Potential profit: $4.92K
User PnL: -$219.99

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
User PnL: -$39.4

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$494.8

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$114.66

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$119.88

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$44.92

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $559.8
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$390.98

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $322.27
Potential payout: $962
Potential profit: $639.73
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$149.98

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $881
Potential profit: $881
User PnL: -$46.07

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $810
User PnL: -$47.79

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762
Potential profit: $762
User PnL: -$48.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$128.59

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316
Potential profit: $316
User PnL: -$31.6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313
Potential profit: $313
User PnL: -$43.82

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.83
Potential profit: $309.83
User PnL: -$100.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $263
User PnL: -$31.56

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.18
Potential profit: $232.18
User PnL: -$84.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215
Potential profit: $215
User PnL: -$51.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $30.23
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $164.78
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$16.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.56

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.67

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.81

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.71

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Yes position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.7%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $12.05

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.42

Yes position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.01

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.05

Yes position

Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.16

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$255.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 85% 36 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 89.5% 1,563.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 189.39 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 45% 342 shares
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Yes 19% 134.72 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 47.8% 40 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 51.6% 580 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 32.9% 463.24 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.8% 44 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 260 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17% 300 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 29.5% 46.73 shares