Polymarket Trader

k9arken

0x42f433997a2bfc636a781e38bfc6955c77509e88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $93.65
Realized PnL: $7.91
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.72
Potential profit: $617.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $144.71
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goat" during McGregor vs Holloway?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $68.48
Potential payout: $117.07
Potential profit: $48.58
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $58.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $57.93
Potential profit: $55.01
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.14
Potential profit: $47.14
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $35.68
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.11
Potential profit: $42.11
User PnL: -$10

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 147.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 8.6% 57.93 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 45% 22.22 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.7% 42.11 shares
Will the announcers say "Goat" during McGregor vs Holloway?

Yes 8.5% 117.07 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 99% 95.23 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 95.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 617.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 12.7% 47.14 shares