Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $41.37
- Potential payout
- $579.43
- Potential profit
- $538.06
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Polymarket Trader
12as74
0x42f63233e7166667d8a3d3d8fc0e3e5bf7ac76e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $403.44
- Realized PnL
- $398.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $36.54
- Potential payout
- $549.45
- Potential profit
- $512.91
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $287.84
- Potential profit
- $272.73
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$14.89
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.33
- Potential profit
- $275.33
- User PnL
- -$30.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $9.31
- Potential payout
- $262.98
- Potential profit
- $253.67
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $49.97
- Potential payout
- $222.09
- Potential profit
- $172.12
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.91
- Potential profit
- $208.91
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.76
- Potential profit
- $192.76
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.67
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $99.22
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $57.03
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.75
- Potential profit
- $135.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $30.49
- Potential payout
- $119.55
- Potential profit
- $89.07
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$26.56
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.75
- Potential profit
- $118.75
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $101.44
- Potential payout
- $113.98
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.09
- Potential profit
- $107.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.56
- Potential profit
- $105.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26.1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$66.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $20.65
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $16.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Baltimore Orioles position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 11% 9.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 22% 4.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 30% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp 10% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp 12% 25 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 128.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 128.35 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 50.5% 49.55 shares
- Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?No 87.7% 113.98 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 66.6% 75.12 shares