No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14.82
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Polymarket Trader
ssFirefly
0x4313681c96ec71b4080afd4687eb75e76604b6d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.33
- Realized PnL
- $5.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $11.27
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "trans" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 56°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 95.6% 11.27 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.4% 14.82 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.2% 10 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 4?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 4?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Trump divorce in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- GTA VI released in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 99.8% 5 shares