Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $437.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Polymarket Trader
guldmundur
0x431dd439edf874458d81e880c11dbabe940db7a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $303.73
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $205.83
- Potential payout
- $205.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $30.93
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $84.6
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $600.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.25
Trump position
Who will go on Rogan first?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.17
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.78
No position
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.72
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
Will Israel strike Iran on Monday or earlier?
Ends Oct 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 33% 120 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 13% 2,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 12% 4,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 12% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 39% 350 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 40% 300 shares
- Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?No 85% 205.83 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 25% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 36% 4,000 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.8% 1,172.07 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 86.3% 198.31 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.9% 161.97 shares