Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x431E667F66037CeDd7643D43C39f2C5146837c0E-1777570608631
0x431e667f66037cedd7643d43c39f2c5146837c0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.57
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $81.57
- Potential payout
- $217.53
- Potential profit
- $135.95
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $11.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.26
- Potential profit
- $185.26
- User PnL
- -$48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.84
- Potential profit
- $30.84
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.88
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.61
- Potential profit
- $16.61
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- User PnL
- -$8.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 32.2% 217.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 5.2% 385.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 27.6% 268.84 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 26% 268.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 18.8% 166.66 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 28.3% 325.46 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 30% 166.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 21% 227.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 21.5% 325.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 22% 227.27 shares