Polymarket Trader

0x43274A4dc68AF54870F1b8cEb1D5e676d040288F-1781207957594

0x43274a4dc68af54870f1b8ceb1d5e676d040288f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.44
Realized PnL: $7.29
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Austria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $13.37
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.58
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$2.03

No position

Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Qatar reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will New Zealand reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 28?

No 68% 2.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?

No 65% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?

No 75.4% 1.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 12.1% 9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?

No 68% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?

No 40% 3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 13% 9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 12.1% 9 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?

No 42% 3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 13% 9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 9.5% 12 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

No 38.5% 7.28 shares