Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Polymarket Trader
0x4338...9f58
0x4338aac86805fec74ef80b74ec172ad2fc4f9f58
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.64
- Realized PnL
- $22.04
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Y
Yes position
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.2
N
No position
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?No 37% 7 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?Yes 47% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 31.9% 7.27 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 45% 8.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 54% 9.57 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Down 76% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares