Polymarket Trader

wobajack

0x433a7562c0985f994ca444140dc8891a0ef871e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $784.67
Realized PnL: $11.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $660.76
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$228.24

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $114.31
Potential payout: $914.48
Potential profit: $800.17
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.02

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.28
Potential profit: $559.28
User PnL: -$259.34

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.1
Potential profit: $399.1
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $290.4
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$26.4

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960.7

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.8

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.36

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.18

Yes position

Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.96

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.33

Yes position

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.35

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.05

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263

No position

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.72

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.98

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.72

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.86

No position

Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

No position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 10% 499.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 75% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 75% 104.07 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Yes 2.5% 399.1 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 99.5% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 68% 70 shares
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Yes 64% 65 shares
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Yes 65.9% 200.03 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 33% 2,596.96 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 36% 100 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 37% 100 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.3% 200 shares