Polymarket Trader

Gregor

0x433e8ad93164b547a13969db912b79f445b086fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.86
Realized PnL: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410K
Potential profit: $410K
User PnL: -$410

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.08K
Potential profit: $298.08K
User PnL: -$298.08

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.59K
Potential profit: $269.59K
User PnL: -$528.4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.65K
Potential profit: $133.65K
User PnL: -$299.64

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.59K
Potential profit: $65.59K
User PnL: -$286.76

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.67K
Potential profit: $17.67K
User PnL: -$52.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$381.78

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$209.19

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$61.82

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$60

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$298.56

Yes position

France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $818.49
Potential profit: $818.49
User PnL: -$97.83

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.95
Potential profit: $780.95
User PnL: -$60

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $741.07
Potential profit: $741.07
User PnL: -$10

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.3
Potential profit: $547.3
User PnL: -$22.36

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.23
Potential profit: $448.23
User PnL: -$60

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $92.86
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $192.86
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.45
Potential profit: $205.45
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.57
Potential profit: $169.57
User PnL: -$39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.71

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.82

Yes position

$BTC dips below $50k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.03

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $125.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.1

No position

Ethereum above $3,000 on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will anyone say "Summer" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E7 S9?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

No 80% 22.1 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

89.7% 34.95 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

56.5% 34.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?

Yes 30% 1.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?

Yes 32% 7.19 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 12% 178.57 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

17.5% 586 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

46.8% 100.28 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

78% 290.93 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

15.2% 140.8 shares
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

No 74% 22.1 shares