No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$113.22
Polymarket Trader
35854354
0x43440928b8817860ffdb84d557ef63e620e2379b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.7K
- Realized PnL
- $524.61
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.47
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.66
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.23
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 98% 9.99 shares
- Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 99% 9.99 shares
- Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 99.3% 5 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.9% 6.01 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 93% 5.38 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 99% 5.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16?Yes 96.7% 365.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16?Yes 97.3% 499.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 23% 1,800 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 98.4% 94.53 shares