Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $212.33
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $72.68
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $28.51
Polymarket Trader
ShannonStrickland2146
@AnnalynGov34311
0x434612ae5894cf43ef23b6ae6211838c7a1d2241
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $345.8
- Realized PnL
- $3.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $65.7
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $80.3
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $62.43
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.24
Dems position
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.68
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.53
Yes position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $210.99
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.4
Yes position
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.75
Yes position
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.32
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.86
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $154.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.44
Yes position
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.02
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.2
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.76
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.37
Yes position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.4
No position
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.95
Yes position
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.06
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 23 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.47
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $78.54
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.27
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 8% 638 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 8% 214 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 9% 852 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?Yes 15% 15 shares
- Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 58% 982 shares
- Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 67% 982 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 72% 613 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 84% 613 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 78% 1,458 shares
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No 56% 782 shares
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No 55% 138 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 88% 1,458 shares