Polymarket Trader

0x434F9f79091cd7eE36A9b69BEBb4d083e94Ff62e-1776456209668

0x434f9f79091cd7ee36a9b69bebb4d083e94ff62e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.63
Realized PnL: $32.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.13
Potential profit: $28.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will LASK Linz win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.51
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.24
Potential profit: $10.24
User PnL: -$8.19

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43
Potential profit: $8.43
User PnL: -$3

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $5.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 96% 5.21 shares
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 98.5% 5.49 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 17.8% 28.13 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 35.6% 8.43 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 92% 5.43 shares
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

No 64% 9.38 shares
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Yes 97.3% 5.88 shares
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-05-01?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.3% 6.66 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

No 80% 10.24 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

No 70% 7.14 shares