Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.6
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Polymarket Trader
IFZ
0x435147edf1d6192eac1546c1be8f9776ae429060
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.92
- Realized PnL
- $38.83
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Y
Yes position
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.3
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.45
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.25
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.93
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.23
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.25
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.63
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $41.49
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $37.87
- Potential profit
- $36.64
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $29.7
- Potential profit
- $26.73
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Cabo Verde position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 29% 20 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?9.4% 10.32 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?11.4% 8.52 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceCabo Verde 29% 10 shares
- Morocco to score first vs. Canada? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?5% 19.4 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceCabo Verde 19.5% 10 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes 55% 20 shares
- Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes 39% 20 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes 4.2% 50 shares