Polymarket Trader

whatc4says

0x436d376367357914e9677edfdb2027d0970468e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $143.09
Realized PnL: -$98.84
Win rate: 21.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$38.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$232.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $988.48
Potential profit: $988.48
User PnL: -$160.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $957.14
Potential profit: $957.14
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.48
Potential profit: $567.48
User PnL: -$40.36

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $46.41
Potential payout: $421.95
Potential profit: $375.53
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$41.59

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.91
Potential profit: $254.91
User PnL: -$25.74

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $253.33
Potential profit: $243.83
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $55.72
Potential payout: $253.27
Potential profit: $197.55
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $14.42
Potential payout: $250.84
Potential profit: $236.41
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$35.58

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.97
Potential profit: $246.97
User PnL: -$41.96

Yes position

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $15.29
Potential payout: $221.67
Potential profit: $206.37
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.38
Potential profit: $204.38
User PnL: -$40.56

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.22
Potential profit: $193.22
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.31
Potential profit: $107.31
User PnL: -$17.17

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $87.64
Potential profit: $87.33
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $79.44
Potential profit: $78.01
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$18.87

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.24
Potential profit: $70.24
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.88
Potential profit: $35.88
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $24.4
User PnL: -$4.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.33

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.8

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.76

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$113.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

No 14% 28.57 shares
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?

Yes 19.9% 250.84 shares
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?

Yes 11.3% 221.67 shares
Will Putin visit China by May 31?

No 24% 41.67 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 98.7% 95.57 shares
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Yes 16% 107.31 shares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?

Yes 29.5% 44.07 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 20.9% 95.58 shares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?

Yes 29.5% 149.15 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December?

Yes 0.1% 445.04 shares